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Definition of surmise:

  1. The notion or opinion that something exists of which we have no certain evidence; a conjecture; a supposition.
  2. To imagine without certain knowledge; to suspect; to form a notion or opinion on slight evidence, or from some trivial circumstance.

Synonyms:

Guess, venture, theory, opinion, shot, conjecture, mistrust, study at guess, attempt, put two and two together, hypothesis, meditation, surmisal, underestimate, assumption, overestimate, guessing, suspect, read between the lines, guesswork, doubt, dead reckoning, guess, speculation, hazard, supposition, possibility, distrust, supposal.

Usage examples: